“False positives” in the Medical Literature

Andrew Gelman’s January 24 blog I don’t believe the paper “Empirical estimates … has an interesting discussion of a paper by Jager and Leek using modeling to get a smaller estimate than Ioannidis (2005) for the proportion of “false positives” in the medical literature. Gelman and commenters critique the title as well as the methods.

For another discussion of the Ioannidis and Jager/Leek papers, see this Technology Review January 23 blog.