BFS 2002 |
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Plenary Address |
Vince Kaminski
The energy markets in the developed countries underwent a profound
transformation during the 1990s. Many sectors of the energy industry have been
deregulated with competitive forces reaching down to the retail level. The
growth of trading volumes was accompanied by emergence of new types of energy
companies, specializing not so much in exploration, production and processing
of energy commodities, but in management of risks related to price volatility,
credit exposures and operations of physical assets. Significant percentage of
transactions was shifted from the organized exchanges and traditional OTC
markets to electronic trading platforms. This process came to an abrupt halt in
the United States, with unprecedented volatility of electricity and natural gas
prices in the western markets, followed by elimination or significant
retrenchment of major players. The questions I shall attempt to address are:
1. What are the underlying causes of the present crisis?
2. Can the energy markets be revitalized by the return of more disciplined
financial institutions to the energy markets?
3. Are energy markets (or certain segments of the energy complex) so unique
that a return to a system of resource allocation based on regulation is
inevitable?
4. What contribution can be made by the academic community to support
development of competitive energy markets?